Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.007941 0.009276 0.010866 0.012926 0.015567 0.018901 0.023533
2025-10-19 0.006114 0.007670 0.009725 0.012730 0.017187 0.023874 0.035390
2025-10-26 0.005197 0.006829 0.009140 0.012823 0.018919 0.029451 0.051502
2025-11-02 0.004502 0.006112 0.008508 0.012579 0.019922 0.034190 0.069935
2025-11-09 0.003892 0.005403 0.007731 0.011870 0.019828 0.036776 0.086218
2025-11-16 0.003449 0.004878 0.007145 0.011337 0.019865 0.039643 0.106861
2025-11-23 0.003213 0.004640 0.006981 0.011510 0.021371 0.046826 0.153538
2025-11-30 0.002954 0.004332 0.006649 0.011292 0.021948 0.051980 0.204294
2025-12-07 0.002706 0.004015 0.006259 0.010878 0.021938 0.055476 0.257847
2025-12-14 0.002525 0.003794 0.006012 0.010711 0.022498 0.061336 0.352609
2025-12-21 0.002441 0.003729 0.006040 0.011136 0.024778 0.075595 0.627996
2025-12-28 0.002403 0.003738 0.006209 0.011909 0.028401 0.100253 1.521477
2026-01-04 0.002300 0.003635 0.006169 0.012257 0.031169 0.127356 4.478604
2026-01-11 0.002156 0.003443 0.005933 0.012086 0.032206 0.147601 13.823750
2026-01-18 0.002050 0.003314 0.005808 0.012172 0.034278 0.181576 189.423292
2026-01-25 0.001931 0.003147 0.005583 0.011946 0.035056 0.208509 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001790 0.002929 0.005224 0.011285 0.033765 0.212570 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001674 0.002751 0.004939 0.010787 0.033015 0.222617 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001616 0.002683 0.004887 0.010949 0.035351 0.283198 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001538 0.002569 0.004721 0.010746 0.035887 0.323222 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001454 0.002438 0.004506 0.010358 0.035352 0.344463 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001392 0.002347 0.004373 0.010202 0.035986 0.397648 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001367 0.002330 0.004413 0.010600 0.039957 0.583863 NaN